Showing 1 - 10 of 2,686
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934
We develop a new approach to the decomposition of income risk within a nonstationary model of intertemporal choice. The … approach allows for changes in income risk over the life-cycle and with the business cycle. It requires only repeated cross … decomposing income risk. The approach is used to investigate the changes in income risk in Britain across the inequality growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118049
We study workers' idiosyncratic earnings risk over the life-cycle using a German administrative data set. Positive and … incomplete markets model. Moreover, age-varying risk implies a linear increase in consumption inequality late in working life …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948657
We estimate the changes in US male labor market risk over the last three decades in a model of endogenous labor supply … a life-cycle model with search frictions, we show that the estimated changes in risk can account for 85 percent of the … increase in within group wage inequality. The welfare costs of rising risk are small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966057
combining data from multiple surveys, we create an integrated measure of volatility in available household resources, accounting … different groups are exposed to economic risk. As the ESI derives from a data-independent conceptual foundation, it can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098821
households reduce their financial risk exposure when confronted with background risk. Our novel modelling approach – termed a … risk, and is unique in recovering for, any given risky asset class, the shares that are reallocated to a safer asset … category. Background risk exerts a significant impact on household portfolios, resulting in a 'flight from risk', away from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977335
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071293
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … and legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766848
business cycle volatility, hinting at a stabilizing effect of public employment, while public wages correlate weakly and … positively with business cycle volatility, hinting at a destabilizing effect of public wages. To explain these relationships, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989839
proposed. The expression for a modified likelihood function is obtained for estimation and inference in a fixed-T context …. Using a bias-corrected likelihood approach makes it possible to reduce the estimation bias to a term of order 1/Tᄇ. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148328