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stock market returns. We instrument the actual capital gains and dividend payments with past portfolio weights. Unrealized … a flat 5 percent for the rest of the distribution. Households' consumption is significantly more responsive to dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925516
We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099096
We study the macroeconomic effects of rational asset bubbles in an overlapping-generations economy where asset trading requires specialized intermediaries and where agents freely choose between working in the production or in the financial sector. Frictions in the market for deposits create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153172
Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to animal spirits or irrational exuberance, their source remains imperfectly understood. Experimental methods can isolate systematic deviations from an asset's fundamental value in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917090
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947730
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141228
This paper uses comprehensive high-quality panel data from official statistics for exporting enterprises to investigate the micro-structure of the recent export collapse in manufacturing industries in Germany during the crisis of 2008/2009. Almost all of the decline in exports was due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109427
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa … Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a demographic dividend. Whether and when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983914
China's favourable labour supply flowing from the "demographic dividend": a larger share of working age population (WAPS …). Currently, this dividend is slipping away and many in China are very concerned. Against this background I set out to examine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348145
Using 1990, 2000 censuses and a 2010 survey, I examine the economic performance of ethnically Chinese immigrants from mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan (CHT) in the U.S. labor market. Since 1990, relative wages of CHT migrants have been escalating in contrast to other immigrants. I show these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086220