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When considering multiple hypothesis tests simultaneously, standard statistical techniques will lead to over-rejection of null hypotheses unless the multiplicity of the testing framework is explicitly considered. In this paper we discuss the Romano-Wolf multiple hypothesis correction, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844826
The presence of cross-sectionally correlated error terms invalidates much inferential theory of panel data models … cointegration properties of the unobserved factors. This finding is further supported for small samples via an extensive Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317495
During the last decade, economists have intensively searched for evidence on the importance of the Balassa-Samuelson (B-S) hypothesis in explaining nominal convergence. One general result is that B-S can at best explain only part of the excess inflation observed in the European catching-up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074886
Many literatures investigate the causal impact of income on economic outcomes, for example in the context of intergenerational transmission or well-being and health. Some studies have proposed to use employer wage differentials and in particular industry affiliation as an instrument for income....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099731
Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103480
If policy-makers care about well-being, they need a recursive model of how adult life-satisfaction is predicted by childhood influences, acting both directly and (indirectly) through adult circumstances. We estimate such a model using the British Cohort Study (1970). The most powerful childhood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073851
This paper compares various forecasts using panel data with spatial error correlation. The true data generating process is assumed to be a simple error component regression model with spatial remainder disturbances of the autoregressive or moving average type. The best linear unbiased predictor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158526
Traffic jams are an important problem both on an individual and on a societal level and much research has been done on trying to explain their emergence. The mainstream approach to road traffic monitoring is based on crowdsourcing roaming GPS devices such as cars or cell phones. These systems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011173
is slightly better than that of the questionnaire, but lower than expected in theory. Interestingly, for those subgroups …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317164
This review paper articulates the relationship between prediction market data and event studies, with a special focus on applications in political economy. Event studies have been used to address a variety of political economy questions ヨ from the economic effects of party control of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126921