how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

mortality. The authors test the hypothesis that selection during famine changes the frailty distributions of cohorts and may … hide negative long-term effects. They use death counts from age 60+ from the Human Mortality Data Base for the birth …. Statistically, long-term effects of famine on mortality become only visible when changes in the frailty distribution of cohorts are …