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Fatal Errors : The Mortality Value of Accurate Weather Forecasts

Shrader, Jeffrey; Bakkensen, Laura; Lemoine, Derek - 2023

how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347414

Demography of Global Aging

Bloom, David E. - 2016

Individuals aged 65 years and older currently make up a larger share of the population than ever before, and this group is predicted to continue growing both in absolute terms and relative to the rest of the population. This chapter begins by introducing the facts, figures, and forecasts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983909

(Mis-)Predicted Subjective Well-Being Following Life Events

Odermatt, Reto - 2015

The correct prediction of how alternative states of the world affect our lives is a cornerstone of economics. We study how accurate people are in predicting their future well-being when facing major life events. Based on individual panel data, we compare people's forecast of their life...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016253

The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India : Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons

Bloom, David E. - 2013

This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the period 2012-2030. Our estimates are derived using WHO's EPIC model of economic growth, which focuses on the negative effects of NCDs on labor supply and capital accumulation. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076812

Forecasts : Consumption, Production, and Behavioral Responses

Ahmad, Husnain; Gibson, Matthew; Nadeem, Fatiq; Nasim, … - 2023

Scarce information and human capital may make it difficult for residents of developing countries to produce accurate forecasts, limiting responses to uncertain future events like air pollution. We study two randomized interventions in Lahore, Pakistan: 1) provision of air pollution forecasts; 2)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264517

Africa's Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend

Bloom, David E. - 2016

We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century the ratio of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983914

Migration Policy, African Population Growth and Global Inequality

Mountford, Andrew - 2014

According to recent UN projections more than 50 percent of the growth in world population over the next half century will be due to population growth in Africa. Given this, any policy that influences African demography will have a significant impact on the world distribution of income. In this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050612

Informing Migration Policies : A Data Primer

Carletto, Calogero - 2015

Researchers in many fields, such as demography, economics, and sociology, have established various data collection methodologies and principles to answer a range of academic and policy questions on migration. Although the progress has been impressive, some basic challenges remain. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031087

Well-Being Inequality and Reference Groups : An Agenda for New Research

van Praag, B.M.S. - 2010

In this paper it is argued that subjective well-being of the individual depends on two types of variables. The first type consists of characteristics of the individual himself, such as age, health, income, etc. The second type of variables consists of the characteristics of the individuals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148080

Estimating Poverty for Refugee Populations : Can Cross-Survey Imputation Methods Substitute for Data Scarcity?

Dang, Hai-Anh H. - 2019

The increasing growth of forced displacement worldwide has led to the stronger interest of various stakeholders in measuring poverty among refugee populations. However, refugee data remain scarce, particularly in relation to the measurement of income, consumption, or expenditure. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857830

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