Showing 1 - 10 of 260
how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347414
Individuals aged 65 years and older currently make up a larger share of the population than ever before, and this group is predicted to continue growing both in absolute terms and relative to the rest of the population. This chapter begins by introducing the facts, figures, and forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983909
The correct prediction of how alternative states of the world affect our lives is a cornerstone of economics. We study how accurate people are in predicting their future well-being when facing major life events. Based on individual panel data, we compare people's forecast of their life...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016253
This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the period 2012-2030. Our estimates are derived using WHO's EPIC model of economic growth, which focuses on the negative effects of NCDs on labor supply and capital accumulation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076812
Scarce information and human capital may make it difficult for residents of developing countries to produce accurate forecasts, limiting responses to uncertain future events like air pollution. We study two randomized interventions in Lahore, Pakistan: 1) provision of air pollution forecasts; 2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264517
According to recent UN projections more than 50 percent of the growth in world population over the next half century will be due to population growth in Africa. Given this, any policy that influences African demography will have a significant impact on the world distribution of income. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050612
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century the ratio of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983914
This paper sheds new light on the mortality effect of delaying retirement by investigating the impacts of the 1967 … 60 and 69, for almost all individuals. Heterogeneous analysis indicates that the increase in mortality is stronger for … retirement schemes, such as partial retirement, mitigates the detrimental effect of delaying retirement on mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076461
The demographic transition the move from a high fertility/high mortality regime into a low fertility/low mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076463
We investigate whether COVID-19 deaths that occurred before vaccination rollouts impact subsequent vaccination take-up. We use data on local vaccination rates and COVID-19-related deaths from England measured at high geographic granularity. We find that vaccination take-up as of November 2021 is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079409