Showing 1 - 10 of 1,680
Financial frictions are known to raise the volatility of economies to shocks (e.g. Bernanke andGertler 1989). We follow … this line of research to the labor literature concerned by the volatility of labor market outcomes to productivity shocks … are a good candidate to solve the volatility puzzle and rejoin Pissarides (2009) in arguing that hiring costs must be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139045
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the impacts of credit and technology shocks on business cycle dynamics, where firms rely on banks and households for capital financing. Firms are identical ex ante but differ ex post due to different realizations of firm specific technology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119292
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic shocks on infant mortality in India and investigates likely mechanisms. A recent OECD-dominated literature shows that mortality at most ages is pro-cyclical but similar analyses for poorer countries are scarce, and both income risk and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759709
business cycle volatility, hinting at a stabilizing effect of public employment, while public wages correlate weakly and … positively with business cycle volatility, hinting at a destabilizing effect of public wages. To explain these relationships, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989839
as conventional wisdom - that output volatility and growth are negatively correlated. We reexamine this relationship in … basic negative association between growth and volatility has been preserved during the 1990s, both trade and financial … interaction between volatility and trade integration is significantly positive. We find a similar, although less significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318610
theory. While labor market institutions have a large effect on output volatility, they do not seem to have much of an effect …This paper analyzes the effects of different labor market institutions on inflation and output volatility. The eurozone … could account for volatility differences across member states, but labor market characteristics have remained very diverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143682
Academic macroeconomics and the research department of central banks have come to be dominated by Dynamic, Stochastic, General Equilibrium (DSGE) models based on micro-foundations of optimising representative agents with rational expectations. We argue that the dominance of this particular sort...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126144
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model where employers may avoid making social security contributions by offering some workers "secondary contracts". When calibrated using aggregate tax revenue data, the model delivers estimates of secondary "off the books" employment that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824425
Real wages are a key determinant of marginal costs. The latter themselves are a driving force of inflation. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process. We model search and matching frictions in the labour market in an otherwise standard New-Keynesian closed economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318057