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We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
I document that emerging markets have cast off their "original sin" – their external liabilities are no longer dominated by foreign-currency debt and have instead shifted sharply towards direct investment and portfolio equity. Their external assets are increasingly concentrated in foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119287
The financial crisis has re-ignited the fierce debate about the merits of financial globalization and its implications for growth, especially for developing countries. The empirical literature has not been able to conclusively establish the presumed growth benefits of financial integration....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160313
as they attempt to reform their frameworks for financial regulation. These economies are striving to balance the quest … objectives can in fact reinforce one another. I also discuss aspects of macroeconomic policies and cross-border regulation that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136951
This paper examines how stringent de facto firing regulations affect firm size throughout the developing world. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037589
monopsony power of firms, even though regulation generates lower employment and income. Empirically, we do find that individuals … first century and family values prevailing before World War II, which suggests that labor market regulations have deep …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147861
Using firm level data on 70,000 enterprises in 107 countries, this paper finds important effects of access to finance, business regulations, corruption, and to a lesser extent, infrastructure bottlenecks in explaining patterns of job creation at the firm level. The paper focuses on how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316735
This paper analyzes the influence of the shadow economy on corruption and vice versa. We hypothesize that corruption and shadow economy are substitutes in high income countries while they are complements in low income countries. The hypotheses are tested for a crosssection of 120 countries and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318034
regulation to an international agent eliminates that distortion, increasing wages and aggregate welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965021