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We examine the impact of real oil price shocks on labor market flows in the U.S. We first use smooth transition regression (STR) models to investigate to what extent oil prices can be considered as a driving force of labor market fluctuations. Then we develop and calibrate a modified version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139698
role for the cyclicality of the unemployment outflow rate, although the contribution of the duration of unemployment is … significant. In contrast, composition effects dampen the cyclicality of the unemployment inflow rate considerably. We further … observe that the initially positive contribution of composition effects to a higher unemployment outflow rate turns negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110186
understanding that their jobs still exist and that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment … mostly dissipated by the end of 2020. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks … that elevate jobless unemployment have much more persistent effects. Historical major adverse shocks, such as the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083806
The Great Recession from December 2007 to June 2009 is associated with a dramatic weakening of the labor market from which, by some measures, it has not completely recovered. I use data from the Displaced Workers Survey (DWS) from 1984-2014 to investigate the incidence and consequences of job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021951
In response to the Great Recession and sustained labor market downturn, the availability of unemployment insurance (UI … extensions across states to estimate the overall impact of these extensions on unemployment duration, comparing the experience … extensions on unemployment transitions and duration. We rely on individual variation in benefit availability based on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082771
We analyze changes in unemployment, marginal labor force attachment and participation in Canada and the U.S.. Using two … complementary decompositions, we show the importance for the comparative evolution of aggregate unemployment of changes in the … marginally attached displaying behavior lying between unemployment and non-attachment. The three non-employment states are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956011
comovement between matches, unemployment, and vacancies in dynamic labor market models: either by assuming a standard Cobb …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046221
We provide new evidence that large firms or establishments are more sensitive than small ones to business cycle conditions. Larger employers shed proportionally more jobs in recessions and create more of their new jobs late in expansions, both in gross and net terms. The differential growth rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757838
Who fares worse in an economic downturn, low- or high-paying firms? Different answers to this question imply very different consequences for the costs of recessions. Using U.S. employer-employee data, we find that employment growth at low-paying firms is less cyclically sensitive. High-paying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043227
. The aim of the paper is to analyse the transitional dynamics of unemployment and vacancies when financial constraints are … describes the transition path of unemployment and vacancies to their steady state values. We show that the transition path … downward sloping. This implies unemployment and vacancies adjust in opposite directions as observed in the data. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011134