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Policies in Hard Times : Assessing the Impact of Financial Crises on Structural Reforms
Gokmen, Gunes - 2020
It is commonly argued that crises open up a window of opportunity to implement policies that otherwise would not have the necessary political backing. The argument goes that the political cost of deep reforms declines as crises unravel structural problems that need to be urgently rectified and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842057
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On the Exchange Rate and Economic Policy Uncertainty Nexus : A Panel VAR Approach for Emerging Markets
Abid, Abir - 2020
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR perspective used for the first time in this context. Focusing on Emerging Market Economies (EME), our noteworthy findings postulate that (a) both home and foreign EPU shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831210
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Are Entrepreneurs Aware of Covered Interest Parity and Dollar Shortage?
Nariman, Farhad; Heshmati, Almas - 2022
The purpose of this study is demonstrating why entrepreneurs should monitor the broad dollar index. This paper explains the reason why the broad dollar index has become a risk (leverage) gauge since 2008 using the Covered Interest Parity (CIP). CIP can be viewed as a reflection of the shadow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406442
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Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
Ha, Jongrim - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
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The Yen Exchange Rate and the Hollowing Out of the Japanese Industry
Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2019
Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in … been associated with "expensive yen recessions" resulting from negative effects on exports; since the late 1980s, the … strong yen has also raised concerns about a de-industrialisation of the Japanese economy. Against this backdrop, the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863763
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The Impacts of the Dollar-Renminbi Exchange Rate Misalignment on the China-United States Commodity Trade : An Asymmetric Analysis
Ferjani, Sabrine; Saafi, Sami; Nouira, Ridha; Rault, … - 2022
.S. importing industries. Our analysis highlights the importance of separating currency overvaluation from currency undervaluation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083735
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Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the impacts of credit and technology shocks on business cycle dynamics, where firms rely on banks and households for capital financing. Firms are identical ex ante but differ ex post due to different realizations of firm specific technology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119292
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Interest Rate Bands of Inaction and Play-Hysteresis in Domestic Investment : Evidence for the Euro Area
Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2019
whether uncertainty over future interest rates in the Euro area hampers monetary policy transmission. In this non-linear model … data on domestic investment and interest rates on corporate loans for 5 countries of the Euro area in the period ranging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863789
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Trading While Sleepy? Circadian Mismatch and Excess Volatility in a Global Experimental Asset Market
Dickinson, David L. - 2017
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947730
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Precious Metal Prices : A Tale of Four U.S. Recessions
Agnese, Pablo; Garcia-del-Barrio, Pedro; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2023
This paper empirically examines the degree of persistence in four precious metal prices (i.e., gold, palladium, platinum, and silver) during the last four U.S. recessions. Unit root tests and fractional integration techniques suggest that gold still is the most prominent safe haven asset within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351417