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The Future of Work : Challenges for Job Creation Due to Global Demographic Change and Automation
Abeliansky, Ana - 2020
We explore future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic, and technological change. First, we estimate the implications for job creation in 2020–2030 of population growth, changes in labor force participation, and the achievement of plausible target unemployment rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840896
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Migration Policy, African Population Growth and Global Inequality
Mountford, Andrew - 2014
According to recent UN projections more than 50 percent of the growth in world population over the next half century … significant impact on the world distribution of income. In this paper we discuss the potential for migration policies to affect … more or less restrictive/selective migration policies and derive their implications for the evolution of world inequality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050612
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Growth, Colonization, and Institutional Development : In and Out of Africa
Bertocchi, Graziella - 2011
This essay investigates the determinants of the growth performance of Africa. I start by illustrating a broader research agenda which accounts not only for basic economic and demographic factors, but also for the role of history and institutional development. After reporting results from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122110
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The Economic and Demographic Transition, Mortality, and Comparative Development
Cervellati, Matteo - 2013
We propose a unified growth theory to investigate the mechanics generating the economic and demographic transition, and the role of mortality differences for comparative development. The framework can replicate the quantitative patterns in historical time series data and in contemporaneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086663
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The Role of Demographics in Precipitating Crises in Financial Institutions
Macunovich, Diane - 2009
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155560
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Fiscal Sustainability and Demographic Change : A Micro Approach for 27 EU Countries
Dolls, Mathias - 2016
The effect of demographic change on the labor force and on fiscal revenues is topical in light of potential pension shortfalls. This paper evaluates the effect of demographic changes between 2010 and 2030 on labor force participation and government budgets in the EU-27. Our analysis involves the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001855
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Demography of Global Aging
Bloom, David E. - 2016
Individuals aged 65 years and older currently make up a larger share of the population than ever before, and this group is predicted to continue growing both in absolute terms and relative to the rest of the population. This chapter begins by introducing the facts, figures, and forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983909
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The Global Demography of Aging : Facts, Explanations, Future
Bloom, David E. - 2016
the progression of large-sized cohorts to the older ages are causing elder shares to rise throughout the world. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983912
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Income and Population Growth
Brückner, Markus - 2013
Do populations grow as countries become richer? In this paper we estimate the effects on population growth of shocks to national income that are plausibly exogenous and unlikely to be driven by technological change. For a panel of over 139 countries spanning the period 1960-2007 we interact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080869
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Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space
Delventhal, Matt; Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Guner, … - 2022
The demographic transition the move from a high fertility/high mortality regime into a low fertility/low mortality regime is one of the most fundamental transformations that countries undertake. To study demographic transitions across time and space, we compile a data set of birth and death...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076463