Showing 1 - 10 of 219
The purpose of this study is demonstrating why entrepreneurs should monitor the broad dollar index. This paper explains the reason why the broad dollar index has become a risk (leverage) gauge since 2008 using the Covered Interest Parity (CIP). CIP can be viewed as a reflection of the shadow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406442
Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in … been associated with "expensive yen recessions" resulting from negative effects on exports; since the late 1980s, the … strong yen has also raised concerns about a de-industrialisation of the Japanese economy. Against this backdrop, the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863763
We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099096
Subjective expectations are fundamental for understanding individual behavior. Yet, little is known about how individuals use new information to formulate and update their subjective expectations. In this study, we exploit data from a multi-treatment field experiment to investigate how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081816
Many information structures generate correlated rather than mutually independent signals, the news media being a prime example. This paper shows experimentally that in such contexts many people neglect these correlations in the updating process and treat correlated information as independent. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082140
The analysis of how the economic crisis in Europe has reshaped migration flows faces two challenges: (i) the confounding influence of correlated changes in the attractiveness of alternative destinations, and (ii) the role of rapidly changing expectations about the evolution of the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087414
Within-subject data from sequential social dilemma experiments reveal a correlation of first-and second-mover decisions for which two channels may be responsible, that our experiment allows to separate: i) a direct, preference-based channel that influences both first- and second-mover decisions;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153177
We develop a novel computerized real effort task, based on moving sliders across a screen, to test experimentally whether agents are disappointment averse when they compete in a real effort sequential-move tournament. Our theory predicts that a disappointment averse agent, who is loss averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154981
The paper explains how workers' expectations of being discriminated against can be self-confirming, accounting for the persistence of unequal outcomes in the labour market even beyond the causes that originally generated them. The theoretical framework used is a two-stage game of incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155318
COVID-19 crisis using a representative panel of German firms. We first demonstrate that the crisis amplifies pre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833870