appears that the activation program is very effective. The median unemployment duration of the control group is 14 weeks …

This paper addresses the question of why high unemployment rates tend to persist even after their proximate causes have …

This paper studies the predictability of long-term unemployment (LTU) and analyzes its main determinants using rich … unemployed. Applying our prediction algorithm over the unemployment spell, we show that dynamic selection into LTU explains at …. Finally, we evaluate the implications of our findings for the value of targeting unemployment policies and how these change …

labour market conditions, the long-term unemployment rate is well above the OECD average. Therefore, the "carrot and stick … reducing long-term unemployment and long-term basic income receipt. An important element is an activation strategy for long …

We analyse benefit-entitlement effects and the likely impact of the recent reform of the unemployment compensation … system on the duration of unemployment in Germany on the basis of a flexible discrete-time hazard rate model estimated on pre … unemployed who are eligible to means-tested unemployment assistance after the exhaustion of unemployment benefit, but not for …

This paper estimates the causal effect of long-term unemployment on wages. Job search theory implies that if … Unemployment Insurance (UI) extensions do not affect wages conditional on the month of unemployment exit, then reservation wages do … not bind on average. Then, UI extensions affect mean wages only through unemployment durations and are valid instrumental …

involves conditioning elapsed duration on completed unemployment duration in the reservation wage equation. Our analysis … duration coefficient suggests that higher reservation wages negatively influence the probability of exiting unemployment …