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Simple Tests for Selection Bias : Learning More from Instrumental Variables
Black, Dan - 2015
We provide simple tests for selection on unobserved variables in the Vytlacil-Imbens-Angrist framework for Local Average Treatment Effects. The tests allow researchers not only to test for selection on either or both of the treated and untreated outcomes, but also to assess the magnitude of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015009
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Flexible Approximation of Subjective Expectations Using Probability Questions : An Application to the Investment Game
Bellemare, Charles - 2008
We use spline interpolation to approximate the subjective cumulative distribution function of an economic agent over the future realization of a continuous (possibly censored) random variable. The method proposed exploits information collected using a small number of probability questions on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773320
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Causal Effects of Monetary Shocks : Semiparametric Conditional Independence Tests with a Multinomial Propensity Score
Angrist, Joshua D.; Kuersteiner, Guido M. - 2021
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325071
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Extensive vs. Intensive Margin in Germany and the United States : Any Differences?
Merkl, Christian - 2010
This paper analyzes the role of the extensive vis-à-vis the intensive margin of labor adjustment in Germany and in the United States. The contribution is twofold. First, we provide an update of older U.S. studies and confirm the view that the extensive margin (i.e., the adjustment in the number...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139060
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Zooming the Ins and Outs of the U.S. Unemployment with a Wavelet Lens
Portugal, Pedro - 2018
To better understand unemployment dynamics it is key to assess the role played by job creation and job destruction. Although the U.S. case has been studied extensively, the importance of job finding and employment exit rates to unemployment variability remains unsettled. The aim of this paper is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917094
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Real Wages over the Business Cycle : OECD Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domains
Messina, Julián; Strozzi, Chiara; Turunen, Jarkko - 2021
We study differences in the adjustment of aggregate real wages in the manufacturing sector over the business cycle across OECD countries, combining results from different data and dynamic methods. Summary measures of cyclicality show genuine cross-country heterogeneity even after controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324732
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Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119292
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On the Exposure of the BRIC Countries to Global Economic Shocks
Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2017
The financial crisis led to a deep recession in many industrial countries. While large emerging countries recovered relatively quickly from the financial crisis, their performance deteriorated in the recent years, despite the modest recovery in advanced economies. The higher divergence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960257
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The German Labor Market During the Great Recession : Shocks and Institutions
Gehrke, Britta - 2018
This paper analyzes Germany's unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions (short-time work, government spending rules)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909849
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Financial Shocks and the Erosion of Interpersonal Trust : Evidence from Longitudinal Data
Jetter, Michael - 2017
a positive financial shock (e.g., winning the lottery). However, trust falls sharply following a negative financial … shock (e.g., bankruptcy). In terms of magnitude, this effect is approximately equivalent to the effect observed after one …, following a negative financial shock. In turn, locus of control is closely associated with interpersonal trust levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940855