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Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution
Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934
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Exponent of Cross-Sectional Dependence : Estimation and Inference
Bailey, Natalia - 2012
An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110862
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When the Market Drives You Crazy : Stock Market Returns and Fatal Car Accidents
Giulietti, Corrado - 2018
The stock market influences some of the most fundamental economic decisions of investors, such as consumption, saving, and labor supply, through the financial wealth channel. This paper provides evidence that daily fluctuations in the stock market have important - and hitherto neglected -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912252
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Public Wages, Public Employment, and Business Cycle Volatility : Evidence from U.S. Metro Areas
A. Reicher, Claire - 2016
business cycle volatility, hinting at a stabilizing effect of public employment, while public wages correlate weakly and … positively with business cycle volatility, hinting at a destabilizing effect of public wages. To explain these relationships, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989839
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Testing the Correlated Random Coefficient Model
Heckman, James J. - 2009
The recent literature on instrumental variables (IV) features models in which agents sort into treatment status on the basis of gains from treatment as well as on baseline-pretreatment levels. Components of the gains known to the agents and acted on by them may not be known by the observing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154992
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Loss Aversion and Lying Behavior : Theory, Estimation and Empirical Evidence
Garbarino, Ellen - 2016
We theoretically show that agents with loss-averse preferences facing a decision to receive a bad financial payoff if they report honestly or to receive a better financial payoff if they report dishonestly are more likely to lie to avoid receiving the low payoff the lower the ex-ante probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978152
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Earnings Dispersion, Risk Aversion and Education
Belzil, Christian; Hansen, Jorgen - 2021
We estimate a dynamic programming model of schooling decisions in which the degree of risk aversion can be inferred from schooling decisions. In our model, individuals are heterogeneous with respect to school and market abilities but homogeneous with respect to the degree of risk aversion. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320490
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The Cyclical Volatility of Labor Markets Under Frictional Financial Markets
Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas - 2010
Financial frictions are known to raise the volatility of economies to shocks (e.g. Bernanke andGertler 1989). We follow … this line of research to the labor literature concerned by the volatility of labor market outcomes to productivity shocks … are a good candidate to solve the volatility puzzle and rejoin Pissarides (2009) in arguing that hiring costs must be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139045
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Government Deficit Shocks and Okun's Coefficient Volatility : New Insights on the Austerity Versus Growth Debate
Pham, Binh Thai - 2019
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
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Predictability of Asset Returns and the Efficient Market Hypothesis
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141228