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forecast errors; the training effect suggests that modest educational interventions can durably improve forecasting skills …. Forecast receipt increased demand for protective masks and increased the responsiveness of outdoor time to pollution. Forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264517
mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347414
. Second, we show that authors who publish in these journals are more likely to receive a positive evaluation when (randomly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946585
Economists often analyze cross-sectional data to estimate the value people implicit place on attributes of goods using hedonic methods. Usually strong enough assumptions are made on the functional form of utility to point identify individuals' willingness-to-pay (WTP) for changes in attribute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139964
Much of the political economy analysis of reform focuses on the conflict of interest between groups that stand to gain or lose from the competing policy proposals. In reality, there is also a lot of disagreement about the working of the policy: in addition to conflicting interests, conflicting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155704
This paper reviews some of the most popular policy evaluation methods in empirical microeconomics: social experiments … evaluation literature. A workhorse simulation model of education returns is used throughout the paper to discuss and illustrate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324816
There are many possible connections between VSL and behavioral economics. A list of topics includes endowment effects, risk salience, ambiguity aversion, present bias, reference groups, reference points, and experienced versus decision utilities. There are also nudges that connect to estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870202
This paper accounts for the value of children and future generations in the evaluation of health policies. This is … evaluation of current policies. Our model clarifies a series of puzzles from the literature on the "value of life" and on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317066
evaluation. The paper defines spillover effects and discusses why it is important to measure them. It explains how to design a … such that they explain the cause of these effects and whom they affect. Such an evaluation design is necessary to avoid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023001
Forecasting errors pose a serious problem of identification, often neglected in empirical applications. Any attempt of estimating choice models under uncertainty may lead to severely biased results in the presence of forecasting errors even when individual expectations on future events are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764650