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Defining the 'global middle class' as being neither poor nor rich in the developed world, we estimate the size of the … global middle class in China and 33 other countries and analyze China's expanding middle class in international perspective …. China's global middle class has grown rapidly and has been catching up with that in developed countries. By 2018 China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087986
The effect of demographic change on the labor force and on fiscal revenues is topical in light of potential pension shortfalls. This paper evaluates the effect of demographic changes between 2010 and 2030 on labor force participation and government budgets in the EU-27. Our analysis involves the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001855
world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …. The evidence reported also suggests that the emergence of China as an important source of world growth might be the driver …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
Debt-to-GDP ratios have grown to unprecedented levels in many industrialized economies. This requires disciplined consolidation efforts which are, however, supposed to come now at the wrong time with the economic recovery being fragile. Against this background, we call for a global debt brake...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067052
This paper examines fiscal policy without commitment and the effects of conditional bailout loans. The government relies on distortionary taxation and decides between full debt repayment and costly default. It tends to overborrow due to myopia, which induces default to be a relevant policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071428
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
A growing concern on widening income gap between the rich and the poor, the policy mismatch in tackling the relative poverty and income inequality have invited increasing volumes of research focusing on the nexus between equity and efficient growth. Developed countries have experienced the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054924
US to the worst recession the world has witnessed for over six decades. Through an in-depth review of the crisis in terms … suggested, while at the same time the majority of the world's poor had benefited insufficiently from stronger economic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141781
Within the migration-trade nexus literature, this paper proposes a more carefully defined measure of migration business networks, and quantifies its impact on bilateral trade. Using cross-sectional data and controlling for the overall bilateral stock of migrants, the share of migrants employed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098826
This article analyses IMF estimates of economic growth in 180 countries (IMF, 2009), and inks the results to the Re-orient approach, put forward by Frank, 1998. With global economic gravitation shifting to the Indian Ocean/Pacific region, the article also analyses the role of MNC (foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155598