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China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
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Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
Ha, Jongrim - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
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Fewer Jobs or Smaller Paychecks? Aggregate Crisis Impacts in Selected Middle-Income Countries
Khanna, Gaurav - 2011
This paper reviews evidence from 44 middle income countries on how the recent financial crisis affected jobs and workers' income. In addition to providing a rare assessment of the magnitude of the impact across several middle-income countries, the paper describes how labor markets adjusted and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120422
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Are Entrepreneurs Aware of Covered Interest Parity and Dollar Shortage?
Nariman, Farhad; Heshmati, Almas - 2022
the reason why the broad dollar index has become a risk (leverage) gauge since 2008 using the Covered Interest Parity (CIP … the banking system. Overall, the risk appetite of the banking system is critical for both traditional and export … banking system s risk appetite, but things have changed since the great financial crisis and the index has been supplanted by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406442
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Asymmetric Labor Market Institutions in the Emu and the Volatility of Inflation and Unemployment Differentials
Abbritti, Mirko - 2012
How does the asymmetry of labor market institutions affect the adjustment of a currency union to shocks? To answer this question, this paper sets up a dynamic currency union model with monopolistic competition and sticky prices, hiring frictions and real wage rigidities. In our analysis, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107467
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The Finnish Great Depression : From Russia with Love
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy - 2015
During the period 1991-93, Finland experienced the deepest economic downturn in an industrialized country since the 1930s. We argue that the culprit behind this Great Depression was the collapse of Finnish trade with the Soviet Union, because it induced a costly restructuring of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012749800
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Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies
Prasad, Eswar S. - 2015
We develop a two-sector, heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete financial markets to study the distributional effects and aggregate welfare implications of alternative monetary policy rules in emerging market economies. Relative to inflation targeting, exchange rate management benefits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016221
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Unemployment Dynamics and the Cost of Business Cycles
Hairault, Jean-Olivier; Langot, François; Osotimehin, … - 2021
In this paper, we investigate whether business cycles can imply sizable effects on average unemployment. First, using a reduced-form model of the labor market, we show that job finding rate fluctuations generate intrinsically a non-linear effect on unemployment: positive shocks reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324775
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Decomposing Changes in Income Risk Using Consumption Data
Blundell, Richard W. - 2011
We develop a new approach to the decomposition of income risk within a nonstationary model of intertemporal choice. The … approach allows for changes in income risk over the life-cycle and with the business cycle. It requires only repeated cross … decomposing income risk. The approach is used to investigate the changes in income risk in Britain across the inequality growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118049
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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
Coibion, Olivier; Georgarakos, Dimitris; Gorodnichenko, … - 2021
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived by households affects their spending decisions. We use randomized information treatments that provide different types of information about the first and/or second moments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236401