Showing 1 - 10 of 2,838
This paper analyzes Germany's unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions (short-time work, government spending rules)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909849
This paper establishes a new fact about the compositional changes in the pool of unemployed over the U.S. business cycle and evaluates a number of theories that can potentially explain it. Using micro-data from the Current Population Survey for the years 1962-2011, it documents that in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099721
Over the past two decades, technological progress has been biased towards making skilled labor more productive. What does skill-biased technological change imply for business cycles? To answer this question, we construct a quarterly series for the skill premium from the CPS and use it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158513
the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214
of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are studied in this paper using state-of-the-art TVP-VAR modelling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in … opposite directions while a shock to the net flow from not in the labour force to unemployment drives the rates in the same … interact and affect the evolution of unemployment rates and participation rates, the two main indicators of labour market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052699
of the unemployment rate and of worker transitions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922444
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119292
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061955
We document that fluctuations in part-time employment play a major role in movements in hours per worker, especially during cyclical swings in the labor market. Building on this result, we propose a novel representation of the intensive margin based on a stock-flow framework. The evolution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995588