startup characteristics to forecast the performance of newly started enterprises over a five years' time horizon. The … accuracy are low. To forecast the two innovation-related performance outcomes well, we only need to include a set of variables …

-series data (cvlasso), and theory-driven ('rigorous') penalization for the lasso and square-root lasso for cross-section and panel …

inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …

-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy's steady state growth …