Showing 1 - 10 of 1,674
The psychological basis for rank-dependent probability weighting, and for an inverse-S probability weighting function … optimism/pessimism over probability distributions and for loss averse/gain loving stochastic reference dependence. I give …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860507
This paper analyzes the stability and distribution of ambiguity attitudes using a broad population sample. Using high-powered incentives, we collected six waves of data on ambiguity attitudes about financial markets – our main application – and climate change. Estimating a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236203
of uncertainty and of rationing efficiency. We show that regulatory uncertainty does not diminish the rationale for … intervention, but may require a low minimum wage that may not bind. With expected earnings-maximization, greater uncertainty widens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009495
A longstanding challenge in evaluating the impact of uncertainty on investment is obtaining measures of managers …' subjective uncertainty. We address this challenge by using a detailed new survey measure of subjective uncertainty collected by … strongly and robustly negatively associated with higher uncertainty, with a two standard deviation increase in uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240723
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406440
Andreoni and Sprenger (in press) report evidence that distinct utility functions govern choices under certainty and risk. I investigate the robustness of their result to the experimental design. I find that the effect disappears completely when a multiple price list is used instead of a convex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099803
paper reports instead between-subject results on the effect of monetary stakes on risk attitudes for small probability … predicted by the prospect theory. But under high stakes, we provide some evidence that risk seeking behavior is dramatically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154976
excuse-driven behavior is comparable under ambiguity and under risk. Individuals exploit any type of uncertainty as an excuse … not to give, regardless of the nature of this uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843721
The ability to uncover preferences from choices is fundamental for both positive economics and welfare analysis. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm in applied microeconomics. However, as is well known, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907827
We link causally the riskiness of men's management of their finances with the probability of their experiencing a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864857