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Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214
for the skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long run … technology. Skill-biased technology shocks are associated with increases in the relative price of investment, indicating that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158513
We model empirically the role of labor market institutions in affecting the response of inflation to labor market and exchange rate shocks in the EU. We adopt a simple Phillips curve framework, treating separately the sectors producing traded and non-traded goods. Our results show that labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075782
A major criticism against staggered nominal contracts is that they give rise to the so called persistency puzzle - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777470
This paper provides a model that can account for the almost uniform staggering of wage contracts in some countries as well as for the markedly nonuniform staggering in others. In the model, short and long contracts as well as long contracts concluded in different periods are strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141426
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined …This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the impacts of credit and technology shocks on business cycle … different realizations of firm specific technology shocks, possible leading to default by some firms. The paper advances a new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119292
We provide empirical evidence on the impact of IT diffusion on the stability of employment relationships. We document the evolution of different components of job instability over a panel of 348 local labor markets in France, from the mid-1970s to the early 2000s. Although workers in more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099730
This paper analyzes Germany's unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions (short-time work, government spending rules)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909849
This paper analyses the impact of the business cycle on labour market dynamics in EU member states and the US during the first decade of the 21st century. Using unique measures of labour market flows constructed from worker-level micro data, we examine to what extent macro shocks were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922444
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942