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We compare single round vs runoff elections under plurality rule, allowing for partly endogenous party formation. Under runoff elections, the number of political candidates is larger, but the influence of extremist voters on equilibrium policy and hence policy volatility are smaller, because the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076816
This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315222
from the right and one from the left, using panel data from 290 municipal election districts. To identify causal effects … incumbency advantage in the next election. Exploring possible mechanisms, we find evidence that when the anti-immigrant party … wins a marginal seat, they experience higher levels of politician turnover before the next election and receive negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911202
seventeen years of household panel data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we examine whether job loss fears impact on … individuals' party identification. Consistent with the deprivation theory, we find strong and robust evidence that subjective job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097869
This paper develops a model for dynamic binary choice panel data that allows for unobserved heterogeneity to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096447
Mundlak (1978) proposed the addition of time averages to the usual panel equation in order to remove the fixed effects … we demonstrate that in this extended setup Probit estimation on panel data sets does not pose a specific problem. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015010
We examine how political participation and political competition are shaped by two class-based extensions of the franchise in 20th-century India. Creating a new dataset of district level political outcomes between 1921 and 1957, we find that the partial franchise extension of 1935 resulted in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828015
This study analyzes the importance of parental socialization on the development of children's far right-wing preferences and attitudes towards immigration. Using longitudinal data from Germany, our intergenerational estimates suggest that the strongest and most important predictor for young...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014044
The maximum likelihood estimator for the regression coefficients, β, in a panel binary response model with fixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942104
This paper develops a simulation estimation algorithm that is particularly useful for estimating dynamic panel data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764470