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Produce or Speculate? Asset Bubbles, Occupational Choice and Efficiency
Cahuc, Pierre - 2009
We study the macroeconomic effects of rational asset bubbles in an overlapping-generations economy where asset trading … are large, the private gains associated with trading asset bubbles may lead too many workers to become speculators …, thereby causing rational bubbles to lose their efficiency properties. Moreover, if speculation can be carried out by skilled …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153172
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Mind, Body, Bubble! Psychological and Biophysical Dimensions of Behavior in Experimental Asset Markets
Butler, David - 2018
Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917090
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To See is to Believe : Common Expectations in Experimental Asset Markets
Cheung, Stephen L. - 2012
We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099096
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Rationalizing Rational Expectations? Tests and Deviations
D'Haultfœuille, Xavier - 2018
In this paper, we build a new test of rational expectations based on the marginal distributions of realizations and subjective beliefs. This test is widely applicable, including in the common situation where realizations and beliefs are observed in two different datasets that cannot be matched....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906482
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Forecasting Errors : Yet More Problems for Identification?
Contini, Bruno - 2009
Forecasting errors pose a serious problem of identification, often neglected in empirical applications. Any attempt of estimating choice models under uncertainty may lead to severely biased results in the presence of forecasting errors even when individual expectations on future events are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764650
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On Gender Gaps and Self-Fulfilling Expectations : Theory, Policies and Some Empirical Evidence
de la Rica, Sara - 2008
This paper considers a simple model of self-fulfilling expectations that leads to a multiple equilibrium of gender gaps in wages and participation rates. Rather than resorting to moral hazard problems related to unobservable effort, like in most of the related literature, our model fully relies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771577
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Randomizing Endowments : An Experimental Study of Rational Expectations and Reference-Dependent Preferences
Goette, Lorenz - 2014
An important advance in the study of reference-dependent preferences is the discipline provided by coherent accounts of reference point formation. Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) provide such discipline by positing a reference point grounded in rational expectations. We examine the predictions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043666
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The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime in the Process of Real and Nominal Convergence
D'Adamo, Gaetano - 2013
During the last decade, economists have intensively searched for evidence on the importance of the Balassa-Samuelson (B-S) hypothesis in explaining nominal convergence. One general result is that B-S can at best explain only part of the excess inflation observed in the European catching-up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074886
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League-Table Incentives and Price Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets
Cheung, Stephen L. - 2011
We study experimental markets in which participants face incentives modeled upon those prevailing in markets for managed funds. Each participant's portfolio is periodically evaluated at market value and ranked in a league table according to short-term paper returns. Those who rank highly attract...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124787
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Two Heads are Less Bubbly than One : Team Decision-Making in an Experimental Asset Market
Cheung, Stephen L. - 2009
We study the effect of team decision-making on bubbles and crashes in experimental asset markets of the kind introduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155154