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We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
I document that emerging markets have cast off their "original sin" – their external liabilities are no longer dominated by foreign-currency debt and have instead shifted sharply towards direct investment and portfolio equity. Their external assets are increasingly concentrated in foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119287
The financial crisis has re-ignited the fierce debate about the merits of financial globalization and its implications for growth, especially for developing countries. The empirical literature has not been able to conclusively establish the presumed growth benefits of financial integration....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160313
This paper investigates the role of violent civil conflicts during the process of democratization for the quality of emerging democracies, and in particular, the protection of civil (political and economic) liberties. A simple theory in which different groups may engage in violent conflict in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124075
. The World Values Survey provided a data framework of global value change, whose quantitative results led members of the … parcel of a larger set of traditional values. With the free available country-wide data from the World Values Survey, we re …/Welzel, 2003, 2003. A frequently asked question is whether “modernization” without “spiritual values” in a globalized world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203179
We combine exogenous variation in temperature at the county-day level in the U.S. with daily time use data to examine the effect of temperature on joint time use. We show that low temperatures reduce time spent with friends but increase time spent with family. Conversely, high temperatures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348455
This paper empirically examines the degree of persistence in four precious metal prices (i.e., gold, palladium, platinum, and silver) during the last four U.S. recessions. Unit root tests and fractional integration techniques suggest that gold still is the most prominent safe haven asset within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351417
This study aims to quantify the impact of the global minimum corporate tax rate a pillar of the OECD's reform of international taxation on cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) involving large multinational enterprises (MNEs). First, the influence of differences in capital taxation on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354666
We analyse how changes in international trade integration affect productivity and the functional income distribution. To account for endogeneity, we construct a leave-out measure for international trade integration for country-industry pairs using international input-output tables. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355913
Today's labor-scarce economies have open trade and closed immigration policies, while a century ago they had just the opposite, open immigration and closed trade policies. Why the inverse policy correlation, and why has it persisted for almost two centuries? This paper seeks answers to this dual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754289