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China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
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Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
Ha, Jongrim - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
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Military Intervention Via Drone Strikes
Mahmood, Rafat - 2019
We study the 420 US drone strikes in Pakistan from 2006-2016, isolating causal effects on terrorism, anti-US sentiment, and radicalization via an instrumental variable strategy based on wind. Drone strikes are suggested to encourage terrorism in Pakistan, bearing responsibility for 16 percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870163
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Economic Sanctions and Trade Flows in the Neighbourhood
Bove, Vincenzo; Di Salvatore, Jessica; Nisticò, Roberto - 2023
We investigate the effect of economic sanctions on trade flows in countries sharing a border with sanctioned states. According to trade models, sanctions are expected to reduce trade flows as they disrupt established trading routes and economic relationships with suppliers and customers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260611
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Terrorism and the Media
Jetter, Michael - 2014
This paper systematically analyzes media attention devoted to terrorist attacks worldwide between 1998 and 2012. Several aspects are related to predicting media attention. First, suicide missions receive significantly more coverage, which could explain their increased popularity among terrorist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046236
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Identifying Conflict and Violence in Micro-Level Surveys
Brück, Tilman - 2010
focus on World Bank's Living Standard Measurement Surveys (LSMS), and propose suggestions on how to improve questionnaires …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139963
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Identifying the Substitution Effect of Temporary Agency Employment
Jahn, Elke J. - 2012
This paper fills a gap in the literature by investigating whether temporary agency employment substitutes regular employment. To take into account the interaction between the two employment forms, we identify a SVAR model with correlated innovations by volatility regimes. We show that a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107696
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Identifying Regional Labor Demand Shocks Using Sign Restrictions
Juessen, Falko - 2012
We propose using sign restrictions to identify regional labor demand shocks in a panel VAR of US federal states. Observed migration responds significantly, but less persistently than the residual-based migration measure constructed by Blanchard and Katz (1992)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099800
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Ethnic Divisions and the Onset of Civil Wars in Syria
abosedra, salah; Fakih, Ali; Haimoun, Nathir - 2021
While most civil wars seem to have an economic basis, they are generally pushed by political, ethnic, and religious differences. This paper attempts to identify the drivers of the Syrian civil war of 2011 by investigating the role of ethnic divisions in starting a conflict. We integrate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251534
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Uncertainty Shocks and Unemployment Dynamics
2020
Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214