the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We capture the direct interest rate-hysteresis on the investments and the … of a central bank's interest rate policy, e.g. in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty, in terms …

uncertainty effects in investment decisions, e.g. by risk premia … impact of changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under certainty and under uncertainty to investigate … whether uncertainty over future interest rates in the Euro area hampers monetary policy transmission. In this non-linear model …

Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes … the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …

We develop a new approach to the decomposition of income risk within a nonstationary model of intertemporal choice. The … approach allows for changes in income risk over the life-cycle and with the business cycle. It requires only repeated cross … decomposing income risk. The approach is used to investigate the changes in income risk in Britain across the inequality growth …

We study workers' idiosyncratic earnings risk over the life-cycle using a German administrative data set. Positive and … incomplete markets model. Moreover, age-varying risk implies a linear increase in consumption inequality late in working life …

We estimate the changes in US male labor market risk over the last three decades in a model of endogenous labor supply … a life-cycle model with search frictions, we show that the estimated changes in risk can account for 85 percent of the … increase in within group wage inequality. The welfare costs of rising risk are small …

Using a unique survey of adults in Turkey, we find that an increase in educational attainment, due to an exogenous …