how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

The profitability of life insurance offerings is contingent on accurate projections and pricing of mortality risk. The … COVID-19 pandemic created significant uncertainty, with dire mortality predictions from early forecasts resulting in … from Compulife. We estimate event-study models that exploit well-established variation in the COVID-19 mortality rate based …