Showing 1 - 10 of 10
The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting lagged adjustment processes. In the context of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273099
This paper provides a critique of the ?unemployment invariance hypothesis,? according to which the behavior of the labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and the labor force. Using Solow growth and endogenous growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265548
This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical “natural rate of unemployment” (NRU). Our analysis suggests that the British NRU has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273128
This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276417
investigates its impact on the evolution of employment. Whilst maintaining the assumption of a unitary long-run elasticity of wages … stylised labour demand equation and show that the labour share is a driving force of employment. We substantiate our analytical … exposition by providing empirical models of wage setting and employment equations for France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276471
inequality and employment. To this end, we use annual data for the US, UK and Sweden over the past forty years and estimate … contributions of the labour share to the trajectories of inequality and employment during specific time intervals in the post-1990 … years. We find that during the nineties the cost of a one percent increase in employment was in the range of 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278673
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth? describing the interplay between nominal frictions and money growth. When the money supply grows in the presence of price inertia (due to staggered wage contracts with time discounting), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276419
This paper analyses the relation between US inflation and unemployment from the perspective of "frictional growth," a phenomenon arising from the interplay between growth and frictions. In particular, we examine the interaction between money growth (on the one hand) and various real and nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276420
This paper addresses the various methodological issues surrounding vector autoregressions, simultaneous equations, and chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that money growth is a superior indicator of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276468
In this paper we analyse a new Phillips curve (NPC) model and demonstrate that (i) frictional growth, i.e. the interplay of wage-staggering and money growth, generates a nonvertical NPC in the long-run, and (ii) the Phillips curve (PC) shifts with productivity growth. On this basis we estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276469