This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the … growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the … increase in interest rates, and (ii) the acceleration in capital accumulation was the crucial driving force of unemployment in …

This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth? describing the … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …

chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that … inflation/unemployment responses to money growth shocks. SVAR (structural vector autoregression) and GMM (generalised method of … and real sides of the economy are symbiotic. In the light of the significant and robust long-run inflation-unemployment …

fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … channels of the capital stock effects, i.e. using variables like interest rates or investment ratios in the estimation of … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital …

The evolution of Spanish unemployment has been quite idiosyncratic. The full employment levels of the early seventies … were followed by unemployment rates that were the highest within the OECD countries in the aftermath of the oil price … shocks. While unemployment was extremely persistent in most of the eighties and nineties, it experienced its sharpest decline …

This paper provides a critique of the ?unemployment invariance hypothesis,? according to which the behavior of the … labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and … equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance and that other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as …

This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical “natural rate of unemployment” (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …