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This note gives a fairly complete statistical description of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter (1997) which has been proposed in the context of my seasonal adjustment method (Schlicht 1981, 1984). A statistics estimator for the smoothing parameter is proposed that is asymptotically equivalent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261819
Bayesian estimation and prediction procedure that allows for the possibility of new breaks over the forecast horizon, taking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180
and inflation rates. Building on the lessons from recent advances in time-series econometrics, we suggest instead that one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262571
achieve similar volatility than fully deregulated labor markets. Flexibility at the margin produces a gap in separation costs … de labor market volatility. This increased volatility is partially reverted when limitations in the duration and number … explain the similar volatility observed in many regulated OECD labor markets with flexibility at the margin vis-à-vis the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276682
This paper provides new evidence on the nature of occupational differences in unemployment dynamics, which is relevant for the debate between the structural or hysteresis hypotheses. We develop a procedure that permits us to test for the presence of a structural break at unknown date. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268561
In the neoclassical production functions model technical change (TC) is assumed to be exogenous and it is specified as a function of time. However, some exogenous external factors other than time can also affect the rate of TC. In this paper we model TC via a combination of time trend (purely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280731
patterns across countries and markets: policies that reduce the dispersion and volatility of labor income appear to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261817
An empirical analysis of the impact of labour market structures on the response of inflation to macroeconomic shocks is … presented. Results based on a 20 country panel show that if labour market coordination is high, the effect on inflation of … inflation to its reduced form determinants. These findings are attributed to the behaviour of wages following movements in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262222
This note gives a fairly complete statistical description of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter (1997) which has been proposed in the context of my seasonal adjustment method (Schlicht 1981, 1984). A statistics estimator for the smoothing parameter is proposed that is asymptotically equivalent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703010
This paper presents a theory and an empirical investigation on cyclical fluctuations in workplace accidents. The theory … fluctuate over the cycle. We conclude that our empirical analysis is in line with our theory: cyclical fluctuations in workplace …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262422