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We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the …. While the evidence for economic voting has historically been weak for Australia, the 2004 election suggests an increasingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267283
We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the …. While the evidence for economic voting has historically been weak for Australia, the 2004 election suggests an increasingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005233791
The effect of ethnic violence on electoral results provides useful insights into voter behaviour in democratic … elections and control variables on demographics and public goods provision to construct a unique panel data set for 16 large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401796
Migration contributes to the circulation of goods, knowledge, and ideas. Using community and individual-level data from Moldova, we show that the emigration wave that started in the late 1990s strongly affected electoral outcomes and political preferences in Moldova during the following decade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333265
-wing ?Republikaner? party and the left-wing Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) in the two recent elections of the European Parliament in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262441
problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic …-Democrat differential was also observed for the 2000 Bush-Gore contest. Prediction market based analyses of all Presidential elections since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267661
elections through which the poor majority can redistribute income away from the rich minority. In our simple laboratory … in two-candidate elections. In addition, in one of the treatments subjects can attempt to influence the candidates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269668
policies that do not harm their relative chances in the elections. In the experiment, we find that lobbying is never successful …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278403
data on personal votes in real elections with a web survey in which 2,513 non-Finnish respondents evaluated the facial … municipal and parliamentary elections and that they have a larger beauty premium in municipal, but not in parliamentary …, elections. As municipal candidates are relatively unknown, the beauty-premium gap indicates that voters especially those to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278420
There is surprisingly little evidence on how terror attacks impact elections. With only a few exceptions, previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207771