Showing 1 - 10 of 357
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … 20 estimators common in the panel data literature using the data on migration to Germany from 18 source countries in the … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584
This paper compares various forecasts using panel data with spatial error correlation. The true data generating process … rather than homogeneous panel data models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268987
differences. Arguably, this shortcoming is rooted in the lack of an appropriate MIMIC model which considers cointegration among … variables. This paper develops a MIMIC model which estimates the cointegration equilibrium relationship and the error correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276685
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180
Prediction markets - markets used to forecast future events - have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their utilization by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287666
This paper proposes maximum likelihood estimators for panel seemingly unrelated regressions with both spatial lag and … spatial lag dependent variable and where the heterogeneity in the panel is incorporated via an error component specification … spatial autocorrelation and random effects for this spatial SUR panel model. The small sample performance of the proposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274576
The aim of this paper is to apply recently developed panel cointegration techniques proposed by Pedroni (1999, 2004 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268121
The aim of this paper is to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of international financial integration on the long-run Real Exchange Rate (RER) in 39 developing countries belonging to three different geographical regions (Latin America, Asia and MENA). It covers the period 1979-2004,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271575
This paper deals with potential instabilities in the Eurozone stemming from an insufficient interplay between monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269233
individual panel data for Germany and repeated cross-sectional data for the United States and the European Union show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268746