Showing 1 - 10 of 288
expectations on future home values. We explore the relationship between house price expectations, local economic conditions, and … households' individual characteristics. We examine the heterogeneity in expectations based on panel data models. In particular … price expectations vary significantly over time, and are positively related to past housing returns and perceived economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435287
. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … expectations on non-durable spending are imprecisely estimated but there is a sharp negative effect on durable spending. We provide … as well as aggregate spending when they increase their inflation expectations. There is little evidence to support the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141135
expectations on future home values. We explore the relationship between house price expectations, local economic conditions, and … households' individual characteristics. We examine the heterogeneity in expectations based on panel data models. In particular … price expectations vary significantly over time, and are positively related to past housing returns and perceived economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959803
Predictions of whether newly unemployed individuals will become long-term unemployed are important for the planning and policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377329
We use a large-scale representative survey of households from October 19-21 that elicits respondents' expectations … about the presidential election's outcome as well as their economic expectations to document several new facts. First … changes in economic expectations in turn are likely to affect household economic decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322622
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710
This paper analyzes the relationship between unemployment and wage inflation for 10 of the euro area countries. The combination of low wage inflation and high unemployment in Europe is usually attributed to a rise in the natural rate of unemployment. Using a panel data approach, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267491