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On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2005

This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584

Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks

Timmermann, Allan; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Pesaran, … - 2004

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180

Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2004

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710

On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2011

This review paper articulates the relationship between prediction market data and event studies, with a special focus on applications in political economy. Event studies have been used to address a variety of political economy questions – from the economic effects of party control of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371908

How prediction markets can save event studies

Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278809

A Survey of Hedge and Safe Havens Assets against G-7 Stock Markets before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Ozdemir, Huseyin; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin - 2021

We propose a new Sharpe ratio index obtained from return and volatility spillover indices to individual assets from the whole financial system. We use our new approach to shed light on a new perspective on a hot topic examining the safe-haven assets after Covid-19. To do that, we compare both...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012882464

Does It Pay for Women to Volunteer?

Sauer, Robert M. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2012

This paper estimates the economic and non-economic returns to volunteering for prime-aged women. A woman's decision to engage in unpaid work, and to marry and have children, is formulated as a forward-looking discrete choice dynamic programming problem. Simulated maximum likelihood estimates of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252286

Mobility in an Enlarging European Union: Projections of Potential Flows from EU's Eastern Neighbors and Croatia

Fertig, Michael; Kahanec, Martin - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2013

This study evaluates potential migration flows to the European Union from its eastern neighbors and Croatia. We perform out-of-sample forecasts using an adaption of the model of Hatton (1995) to time series cross-sectional data about post-enlargement migration flows following the EU's 2004...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196412

Five Issues in the Design of Income Support Mechanisms: The Case of Italy

Colombino, Ugo - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2011

Differently from most European countries and despite the recommendations on the part of the European Commission, Italy still misses a sufficiently systematic and nationwide mechanism of income support. In this paper we want to explore the feasibility, the desirability and the features of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359862

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