the immigrant share increases. Our results indicate that in the elections some Danish voters voice their displeasure about …

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the … basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy … of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This election is particularly interesting both because of innovations …

Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the … problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic … indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during election day. Analyzing high …

elections through which the poor majority can redistribute income away from the rich minority. In our simple laboratory … in two-candidate elections. In addition, in one of the treatments subjects can attempt to influence the candidates …

decentralization on the occurrence of transnational terror. Our results show that expenditure decentralization reduces the number of … transnational terror events in a country, while political decentralization has no impact. These results are robust to the choice of …

experienced declines in the likelihood of employment, especially in 2008 and in manufacturing. While men's job losses were limited … to wage employment, women lost job opportunities in wage- and self-employment, and they experienced increases in unpaid … began, especially in terms of employment losses, but as the crisis conditions wore on, skilled workers experienced negative …

and a secret saving device on solidarity in risk-sharing groups among rural villagers in the Philippines. Risk is …

We analyze the impact of fiscal decentralization on U.S. county population, employment, and real income growth. Our … population and employment growth, but no significant impact on nonmetropolitan counties. In contrast, the fragmentation of … general-purpose governments per capita has a negative impact on employment and population growth in nonmetropolitan counties …

We exploit a discontinuity in Brazilian municipal election rules to investigate whether political competition has a … vote. In municipalities with more than 200,000 voters a runoff election takes place among the top two candidates if neither …