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Do output contractions trigger democratic change?
Burke, Paul J.; Leigh, Andrew - 2010
Does faster economic growth increase pressure for democratic change, or reduce it? Using data for 154 countries for the period 1963-2007, we examine the short-run relationship between economic growth and moves toward and away from greater democracy. To address the potential endogeneity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269675
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Modeling Area-Level Health Rankings
Courtemanche, Charles; Soneji, Samir; Tchernis, Rusty - 2013
We propose a Bayesian factor analysis model to rank the health of localities. Mortality and morbidity variables empirically contribute to the resulting rank, and population and spatial correlation are incorporated into a measure of uncertainty. We use county-level data from Texas and Wisconsin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328998
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Estimating the technology of cognitive and noncognitive skill formation
Cunha, Flavio; Heckman, James Joseph; Schennach, Susanne - 2010
This paper formulates and estimates multistage production functions for children's cognitive and noncognitive skills. Skills are determined by parental environments and investments at different stages of childhood. We estimate the elasticity of substitution between investments in one period and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274255
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Infinite dimensional VARs and factor models
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem - 2007
that this will lead to a dynamic factor model with the dominant unit acting as the factor. The problems of estimation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276258
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Aggregation in large dynamic panels
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Chudik, Alexander - 2011
Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285520
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Growth, volatility and political instability: non-linear time-series evidence for Argentina, 1896 - 2000
Campos, Nauro F.; Karanasos, Menelaos G. - 2007
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268236
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Uncertainty and the politics of employment protection
Vindigni, Andrea - 2008
This paper investigates the role that idiosyncratic uncertainty plays in shaping social preferences over the degree of labor market flexibility, in a general equilibrium model of dynamic labor demand where the productivity of firms evolves over time as a Geometric Brownian motion. A key result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268688
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Flexibility at the margin and labor market volatility in OECD countries
Sala, Héctor; Silva, José Ignacio; Toledo, Manuel E. - 2008
achieve similar volatility than fully deregulated labor markets. Flexibility at the margin produces a gap in separation costs … de labor market volatility. This increased volatility is partially reverted when limitations in the duration and number … explain the similar volatility observed in many regulated OECD labor markets with flexibility at the margin vis-à-vis the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276682
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Earnings instability of job stayers and job changers
Leonardi, Marco - 2003
I use the PSID to decompose the rise in wage inequality into a permanent and a transitory component. I consider separately job stayers and job changers. I find that earnings instability (the variance of the transitory component of earnings) increased much more among job changers than among job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261646
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Consumption Smoothing and the Structure of Labor and Credit Markets
Bertola, Giuseppe; Koeniger, Winfried - 2004
patterns across countries and markets: policies that reduce the dispersion and volatility of labor income appear to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261817