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- although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this persistency … setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage-price staggering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273163
What are the broad societal implications of inflation and unemployment? Analyzing a dataset of over 1.9 million …, we find that both inflation and unemployment have a negative link with confidence in financial institutions. While … inflation is generally unassociated with confidence in government and leadership approval, unemployment still has a strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469790
" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this "persistency … equilibrium setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703349
Central banks around the world are exploring and in some cases even piloting Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). CBDCs promise to realize a broad range of new capabilities, including direct government disbursements to citizens, frictionless consumer payment and money-transfer systems, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270213
on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we introduce consistent measurement of inflation expectations across …This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey … firms' inflation expectations and show that firms disagree about future inflation more than professional forecasters but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014567474
of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized … then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates … beyond one year do not have any additional impact on forecasts. Exogenous variation in inflation expectations transmits into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180172
Using Italian data that includes both inflation forecasts of firms and external information on their balance sheets, we … study the causal effect of changes in the dispersion of beliefs about future inflation on the misallocation of resources. We … find that as disagreement increases, so does misallocation. In times of low inflation, the aggregate TFP loss of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296850
This study analyzes how firms form their inflation expectations during a regime change in monetary policy and a … transition to a low-inflation environment. Using the Bank of Israel survey of firms, we document the basic properties of firms …' inflation expectations and examine how Israeli firms update their inflation expectations after receiving new information about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377237
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141135
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive … observing how they revise their expectations about future inflation as well as taxes and government spending. We find that … information about the current debt or deficit levels has little impact on inflation expectations but that news about future debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498015