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Labor Unions and the Electoral Consequences of Trade Liberalization
Ogeda, Pedro Molina; Ornelas, Emanuel; Soares, Rodrigo R. - 2021
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012882425
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Impact of the 1999 Earthquakes on the Outcome of the 2002 Parliamentary Election in Turkey
Akarca, Ali T.; Tansel, Aysit - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2008
parliamentary election is investigated, using cross-provincial data, and controlling for other social, political and economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822154
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Voter Reaction to Government Incompetence and Corruption Related to the 1999 Earthquakes in Turkey
Akarca, Ali T.; Tansel, Aysit - 2015
incompetence. How voters responded to these in the next election held in 2002 is investigated. The fact that different group of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307370
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Impact of the 1999 earthquakes on the outcome of the 2002 parliamentary election in Turkey
Akarca, Ali T.; Tansel, Aysit - 2008
parliamentary election is investigated, using cross-provincial data, and controlling for other social, political and economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268575
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Is Demonstrating against the Far Right Worth It? Evidence from French Presidential Elections
Lagios, Nicolas; Méon, Pierre-Guillaume; Tojerow, Ilan - 2022
We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426438
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The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation
Wang, Tianyi - 2023
Using newly digitized data on the growth of the telegraph network in America during 1840-1852, the paper studies the impacts of the electric telegraph on national elections. I use proximity to daily newspapers with telegraphic connections to Washington to generate plausibly exogenous variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377220
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Competing approaches to forecasting elections: economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets
Leigh, Andrew; Wolfers, Justin - 2006
basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy … of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This election is particularly interesting both because of innovations …. While the evidence for economic voting has historically been weak for Australia, the 2004 election suggests an increasingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267283
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Partisan impacts on the economy: evidence from prediction markets and close elections
Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2006
Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the … indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during election day. Analyzing high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267661
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Competing on good politicians
Galasso, Vincenzo; Nannicini, Tommaso - 2009
Is electoral competition good for political selection? To address this issue, we introduce a theoretical model in which ideological parties select candidates between party loyalists and experts, and allocate them into the electoral districts. Non-ideological voters, who care about national and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269346
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Redistributive politics and market efficiency: an experimental study
Großer, Jens; Reuben, Ernesto - 2009
We study the interaction between competitive markets that produce large but unequally distributed welfare gains and elections through which the poor majority can redistribute income away from the rich minority. In our simple laboratory democracy, subjects first earn their income by trading in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269668