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' experiment through which to study the rationality of expectations. Our results show that East Germans significantly over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262741
Each worker belongs to either the majority or the minority group and, irrespective of the group she belongs to, can have good or bad work habits. These traits are transmitted from one generation to the next through a learning and imitation process which depends on parents' purposeful investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267690
period and individuals are not too risk averse. This paper tests the POUM hypothesis by means of a within subjects experiment … inequality aversion are (partially) controlled for via either the experiment design or the information collected during the … experiment. We find that the POUM hypothesis holds under alternative specifications, even when we control for individual fixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261622
Forecasting errors pose a serious problem of identification, often neglected in empirical applications. Any attempt of estimating choice models under uncertainty may lead to severely biased results in the presence of forecasting errors even when individual expectations on future events are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271221
coordinate with other teams. We present an experiment with 825 participants, using six different coordination games, where either …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268555
inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271258
We use a unique design feature of a survey of Italian firms to study the causal effect of inflation expectations on … recent inflation (or the European Central Bank's inflation target) whereas other firms are not. This information treatment … generates exogenous variation in inflation expectations. We find that higher inflation expectations on the part of firms leads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984597
This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey … on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we introduce consistent measurement of inflation expectations across … firms' inflation expectations and show that firms disagree about future inflation more than professional forecasters but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014567474
of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized … then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates … beyond one year do not have any additional impact on forecasts. Exogenous variation in inflation expectations transmits into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180172
models with rational expectations. We extend a standard New Keynesian model with a zero-lower bound on inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012882429