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Mahmood, Rafat; Jetter, Michael - 2019

We study the 420 US drone strikes in Pakistan from 2006-2016, isolating causal effects on terrorism, anti-US sentiment, and radicalization via an instrumental variable strategy based on wind. Drone strikes are suggested to encourage terrorism in Pakistan, bearing responsibility for 16 percent of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012006018

Economic Sanctions and Trade Flows in the Neighbourhood

Bove, Vincenzo; Di Salvatore, Jessica; Nistico, Roberto - 2023

We investigate the effect of economic sanctions on trade flows in countries sharing a border with sanctioned states. According to trade models, sanctions are expected to reduce trade flows as they disrupt established trading routes and economic relationships with suppliers and customers....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296714

Identifying conflict and violence in micro-level surveys

Brück, Tilman; Justino, Patricia; Verwimp, Philip; … - 2010

focus on World Bank's Living Standard Measurement Surveys (LSMS), and propose suggestions on how to improve questionnaires …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272662

Output-Employment Relationship across Sectors: A Long- versus Short-Run Perspective

Sahin, Afsin; Tansel, Aysit; Berument, Hakan - 2013

This paper investigates the nature of the output-employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period 1988-2008. Even if we fail to find a long-run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long-run relationships for the aggregate output with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010329177

On the Exposure of the BRIC Countries to Global Economic Shocks

Belke, Ansgar H.; Dreger, Christian; Dubova, Irina - 2017

challenging for many emerging markets. This view is supported by Bayesian VARs specified for the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653362

Counteracting Unemployment in Crises: Non-Linear Effects of Short-Time Work Policy

Gehrke, Britta; Hochmuth, Brigitte - 2018

Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty to prevent layoffs. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession. This paper shows that the effects of short-time work are strongly time dependent and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873476

Real wages and the business cycles in Germany

Marczak, Martyna; Beissinger, Thomas - 2010

This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274586

The dynamics of entrepreneurship: hysteresis, business cycles and government policy

Congregado, Emilio; Golpe, Antonio A.; Parker, Simon C. - 2009

This paper estimates an unobserved components model to explore the macro dynamics of entrepreneurship in Spain and the US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276150

China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2011

world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278334

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher; … - 2020

We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207681

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