Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the … problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic … indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during election day. Analyzing high …

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the … basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy … of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This election is particularly interesting both because of innovations …

elections through which the poor majority can redistribute income away from the rich minority. In our simple laboratory … in two-candidate elections. In addition, in one of the treatments subjects can attempt to influence the candidates …

Empirical research on the determinants of right and left-wing extremist election successes is still dominated by …-wing ?Republikaner? party and the left-wing Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) in the two recent elections of the European Parliament in …

the immigrant share increases. Our results indicate that in the elections some Danish voters voice their displeasure about …

Democrats proposed budget cuts affecting parents with young children before the 1994 election, but made generous promises to the … same group before the 1998 election. Since parents with older children were largely unaffected we use a difference …

parties' election successes despite its importance for their programmes and campaigns. …

data on personal votes in real elections with a web survey in which 2,513 non-Finnish respondents evaluated the facial … municipal and parliamentary elections and that they have a larger beauty premium in municipal, but not in parliamentary …, elections. As municipal candidates are relatively unknown, the beauty-premium gap indicates that voters especially those to the …

This paper analyses the effect of information disseminated by the Internet on voting behavior. We address endogeneity … Internet effect between national and local elections to a crowding out of national but not local newspapers. …

This paper investigates the impact of television on internal migration in Indonesia. We exploit the differential … introduction of private television throughout the country and the variation in signal reception due to topography to estimate the … under imperfect information, these findings are consistent with Indonesia citizens over-estimating the net gains from …