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Konjunktur und Trend und verdeutlicht die Natur von Punktprognosen sowie den Unterschied zwischen Prognosen und ifo Index. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877392
enttäuschend schwach. Deutschland ist von der Weltkonjunktur entkoppelt und liegt nach wie vor beim Wachstum unter dem Durchschnitt … Binnennachfrage kommt das hohe deutsche Lohnkostenniveau in Betracht, das hinter Norwegen die Spitzenposition in der Welt einnimmt und …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005048133
Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085913
Judged by the principle of intertemporal Pareto optimality, insecure property rights and the greenhouse effect both imply overly rapid extraction of fossil carbon resources. A gradual expansion of demand-reducing public policies -- such as increasing ad-valorem taxes on carbon consumption or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775908
While the old systems competition took place with closed borders, globalisation has brought about a new type of systems competition that is driven by the mobility of factors of production. The new systems competition will likely imply the erosion of the European welfare state, induce a race to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226159
Throughout the world, population aging is a major challenge that will continue well into the 21st century. While the patterns of the demographic transition are similar in most countries, timing differs substantially, in particular between industrialized and less developed countries. To the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321586
A political miracle occurred when Germany was reunited, and at first glance an economic miracle has followed. Real incomes in the east have now reached the western level, and investment per capita has been much higher than in the west. However, every third deutschmark spent in the east has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132721
The aim of this paper is to describe for (West) Germany the historical relationship between health and disability on the one hand and old-age labor force participation or early retirement on the other hand. We explore how both are linked with various pension reforms. To put the historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124658
Riester pensions are voluntary, but heavily subsidized private pension schemes in Germany. They were designed as a matching defined contribution scheme to fill the emerging "pension gap" that is being generated by the gradually declining generosity of the public pay-as-you-go pensions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107222
The aim of this paper is to illustrate for Germany the factors that may explain the U-shaped pattern of older men's labor force participation - from a long declining trend that began in the early 1970s to an increasing trend starting from the late 1990s - and at the same time the steady increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942716