Showing 1 - 10 of 65
Konjunktur und Trend und verdeutlicht die Natur von Punktprognosen sowie den Unterschied zwischen Prognosen und ifo Index. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877392
enttäuschend schwach. Deutschland ist von der Weltkonjunktur entkoppelt und liegt nach wie vor beim Wachstum unter dem Durchschnitt … Binnennachfrage kommt das hohe deutsche Lohnkostenniveau in Betracht, das hinter Norwegen die Spitzenposition in der Welt einnimmt und …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005048133
This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide a higher and better coordinated level of fiscal support than it has in the past. Loans to troubled sovereigns or financial institutions imply a credit risk that ultimately must...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120324
A key precursor of twentieth-century financial crises in emerging and advanced economies alike was the rapid buildup of leverage. Those emerging economies that avoided leverage booms during the 2000s also were most likely to avoid the worst effects of the twenty-first century's first global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121927
This paper analyzes current stresses in the two key areas that concerned the architects of the original Bretton Woods system: international liquidity and exchange rate management. Despite radical changes since World War II in the market context for liquidity and exchange rate concerns, they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092069
This paper surveys the evolution of international capital mobility since the late nineteenth century. We begin with an overview of empirical evidence on the fall and rise of integration in the global capital market. A discussion of institutional developments focuses on the use of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774957
Judged by the principle of intertemporal Pareto optimality, insecure property rights and the greenhouse effect both imply overly rapid extraction of fossil carbon resources. A gradual expansion of demand-reducing public policies -- such as increasing ad-valorem taxes on carbon consumption or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775908
In our book, Global Capital Markets: Integration, Crisis, and Growth, we traced out the evolution of the international monetary system using the framework of the “international monetary trilemma”: countries can enjoy at most two from the set {exchange-rate stability, open capital markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954933
Gross stocks of foreign assets have increased rapidly relative to national outputs since 1990, and the short-run capital gains and losses on those assets can amount to significant fractions of GDP. These fluctuations in asset values render the national income and product account measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762565
This paper studies how several macrofinancial factors are associated over time with the evolution of covered interest parity (CIP) deviations in the decade after the Global Financial Crisis. Changes in a number of risk- and policy-related factors have a significant association with the evolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865278