Showing 1 - 10 of 81
Konjunktur und Trend und verdeutlicht die Natur von Punktprognosen sowie den Unterschied zwischen Prognosen und ifo Index. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877392
enttäuschend schwach. Deutschland ist von der Weltkonjunktur entkoppelt und liegt nach wie vor beim Wachstum unter dem Durchschnitt … Binnennachfrage kommt das hohe deutsche Lohnkostenniveau in Betracht, das hinter Norwegen die Spitzenposition in der Welt einnimmt und …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005048133
Thirty-four recent studies have investigated the effect of currency union on trade, resulting in 754 point estimates of the effect. This paper is a quantitative attempt to summarize the current state of debate; meta-analysis is used to combine the disparate estimates. The chief findings are that:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229387
A country's exports rise when its leadership is approved by other countries. I show this using a standard gravity model of bilateral exports, a panel of data from 2006 through 2017, and an annual Gallup survey which asks people in up to 157 countries whether they approve of the job performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895002
We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139743
The effects of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) are disputed. In this paper, we assess these effects using capital market data and an event-study approach, using a daily data set covering a thousand announcements spanning over eighty economies and a hundred RTAs over twenty recent years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120297
While the global financial crisis was centered in the United States, it led to a surprising appreciation in the dollar, suggesting global dollar illiquidity. In response, the Federal Reserve partnered with other central banks to inject dollars into the international financial system. Empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121027
Conventional wisdom holds that protectionism is counter-cyclic; tariffs, quotas and the like grow during recessions. While that may have been a valid description of the data before the Second World War, it is now inaccurate. In the post-war era, protectionism has not actually moved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106645
In contrast to earlier recessions, the monetary regimes of many small economies have not changed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. This is due in part to the fact that many small economies continue to use hard exchange rate fixes, a reasonably durable regime. However, most of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073186
In this paper I quantify a gain that a country receives when its global influence is considered to be admirable by others. I use a standard gravity model of bilateral exports, a panel of data from 2006 through 2013, and an annual survey conducted for the BBC by GlobeScan which asks people in up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015974