In this paper, we ask whether it is possible to forecast gross value-added (GVA) and its sectoral subcomponents at the regional level. With an autoregressive distributed lagmodel we forecast total and sectoral GVA for one German state (Saxony) with more than 300 indicators from different...

Das ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung in München führt seit seiner Gründung im Jahr1949 regelmäßige Unternehmensbefragungen durch. Bisher bestand kein institutionalisierterDatenzugang zu den Mikrodaten für Forscher außerhalb des Institutes. Die Mikrodatenwerden nunmehr im ifo...

Different studies provide surprisingly a large variety of controversial conclusions aboutthe forecasting power of an indicator, even when it is supposed to forecast the sametime series. In this study we aim to provide a thorough overview of linear forecastingtechniques and draw conclusions...

The objective of this paper is to investigate the trade potential of the fifteen old EU countries with the ten new members having joined on May 1st, 2004. Our focus lies not so much on the integration process already having taken place, but on the importance of institutional factors for trade....

The Ifo Institute for Economic Research has been conducting regular business surveyssince its foundation in 1949. The most well-known of Ifo’s surveys is the Ifo BusinessSurvey (ifo Konjunkturtest). The micro data of the Ifo Business Survey are accessible toexternal researchers on-site at Ifo...

In socio-economic sciences the RePEc network (Research Papers in Economics) has become an essential source both for the spread of existing and new economic research. Furthermore the calculation of rankings for authors and academic institutions play a central role. We provide some cautionary...

Im September 2013 veröffentlichte die Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) ein neuesÖkonomenranking. Dieses berücksichtigt neben der Forschungsleistung auch nochzwei weitere Aspekte: Medienpräsenz und Politikberatung. In diesem Artikel wird dasFAZ‐Ranking einer kritischen Analyse...