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The end of the great moderation has profound implications on the assessment of fiscal sustainability. The pertinent issue goes beyond the obvious increase in the stock of public debt/GDP induced by the global recession, to include the neglected perspective that the vulnerabilities associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462179
This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461279
important policy instrument, insuring against liquidity shortages. We find that countries' policy mixes are diverse, and have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362059
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short … benefits and facilitate the use of powerful fiscal policy tools even in a liquidity trap. In this paper, we consider an … alternative approach that has been suggested for use in a liquidity trap, a scheduled increase in consumption tax rates. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468404
This case study compares the importance of prevailing market factors against that of COVID-19 dynamics and policy responses in explaining the evolution of Eurozone (EZ) sovereign spreads during the first half of 2020. Focusing on daily Eurozone CDS spreads, we adopt a multi-stage econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481646
'Phoenix Emergence' of Western Europe and Japan from WWII destruction. The contrast between the two exit strategies suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482186
This note shows that the aggregate fiscal expenditure stimulus in the United States, properly adjusted for the declining fiscal expenditure of the fifty states, was close to zero in 2009. While the Federal government stimulus prevented a net decline in aggregate fiscal expenditure, it did not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462868
during the period of Japan's bubble economy and subsequent stagnation. The yen experienced epic gyrations over that period … the price of oil. Since the mid-1990s, the yen's real exchange rate has generally followed a depreciating trend and Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463831
We show that the when one takes into account the global equilibrium ramifications of an unwinding of the US current account deficit, currently estimated at 5.4% of GDP, the potential collapse of the dollar becomes considerably larger--more than 50% larger--than our previous estimates (Obstfeld...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467820
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618611