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We use textual analysis of earnings conference calls held by listed firms around the world to measure the amount of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696435
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467730
This paper studies empirically the effects of financial crises on international trade. The major findings are that banking crises had a negative impact on imports but a positive impact on exports in the short term, whereas currency crises decreased imports in the short term and stimulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468522
International trade increased rapidly after 1990, fueled by the growth of a complex network of global value chains. Financial globalization gathered force. Trade globalization, however, reversed course since the Global Financial Crisis. The new trend is expected to endure after the Global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482149
One of the most striking aspects of the recent recession is the collapse in international trade. This paper uses disaggregated data on U.S. imports and exports to shed light on the anatomy of this collapse. We find that the recent reduction in trade relative to overall economic activity is far...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462647
Facing acute strains in the offshore dollar funding markets during the COVID-19 crisis, the Federal Reserve (Fed) implemented measures to provide US dollar liquidity by reinforcing swap arrangements with five major central banks, reactivating them with nine other central banks and establishing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496139
We survey recent literature on the causes of the collapse in international trade during the 2008-2009 global recession. We argue that the evidence points to the collapse in aggregate expenditure, concentrated on trade-intensive durable goods, as the main driver of the trade collapse. Inventory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460028
-movements of global factors in asset prices and capital flows with commodity prices, international trade and world output as well … as the sensitivity of different parts of the world to the Global Financial Cycle. We present evidence of the causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660005
In OECD countries over the period 1980-2017, countries with lower debt-to-GDP ratios responded to financial distress with much more expansionary fiscal policy and suffered much less severe aftermaths. Two lines of evidence together suggest that the relationship between the debt ratio and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479718
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble's build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase differs strongly across banks and bubble episodes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479725