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forecasting models as they easily outperform the simple random walk model--which is rarely defeated in the literature of exchange … rate forecasting--in term of out- of-sample forecasting, for all the forecast horizons ranging from one to fourteen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408205
) has impact on forecasting models. The current impact of volatility - there is no - on option pricing is not justified. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556646
Recent articles in International Organization and elsewhere have explored the role of domestic institutions in shaping exchange rate regime choice. These articles use some variation on the information reported by governments to the International Monetary Fund as their dependent variable. Even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124934
This paper examines data for stock prices and price levels of 14 developed countries during the post-WWII era and compares their behavior in that sample with behavior over the past two centuries in the UK and the US. Contrary to much of the literature of the past several decades, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124936
A model of national price levels is developed to lay bare implicit assumptions behind the conventional view on the effect of productivity differentials and net foreign assets. The effect of productivity on national price levels is determined by the interaction of several countervailing channels,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124940
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124943
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124944
In this paper, we examine the reaction of stock market returns and volatility in a diverse group of six emerging markets to a set of IMF events. In particular, we test within a panel framework whether there was an "investor panic" causing a significant drop in stock market returns on the days of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124949
The paper presents empirical results on an import prices equation to the case of the small open Hellenic economy, during her course to the European Monetary Union, in the 1980s until mid-1990s. The analysis employs cointegration theory to examine the long-run co-movements of prices, effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124950