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periods when their current account deficits have narrowed. Such studies identified systematic aspects of external adjustment ….S. external imbalance. In contrast, this paper focuses in depth on the historical experience of external adjustment in the United … periods of external adjustment is remarkably similar to the foreign experience. Finally, we also examine the performance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368329
In the 1980s, the United States developed a large and persistent current account deficit, financed by borrowing from abroad. The purpose of this paper is to explore the sustainability of these large deficits from one of several possible perspectives. Simulations of a model of the U.S. current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368516
.S. external deficit between 1980 and 1986. The paper presents an empirical model of the U.S. current account that is used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368243
This paper discusses the problems of international debt from the point of the of the evolution of U.S. policy. The first section presents a brief historical review of the international debt problems of the 1980s. The next section examines the situation as of early 1989: progress as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368313
analyze the historical paths of external debts in these countries. Then, under fairly conventional baseline specifications …An analytic and accounting framework is presented for examining the evolution of the external positions of eight … cases in which external adjustment might be warranted. Through the simulation of some alternative scenarios, the analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368391
Interest in income and price elasticities for international trade has increased recently because of the debt crisis that many developing countries are experiencing. Estimates of income elasticities of import demand, however, range from a low of 1.3 to a high of 4.7. Such differences have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368394
deficit and of the consequent buildup in U.S. external debt are examined. The analytical framework for thinking about the U … are then reported. The sustainability of the U.S. external position is discussed next. It is concluded that, at some point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368450
This paper examines several aspects of the problem of international debt that has been a feature of the world economy of the 1980s. First, the paper considers the sources or causes of these problems. It goes on to consider responses to those problems, the outlook for international lending, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368477
net external debt position with its sign reversed) at the end of 1987 was a negative $368 billion. This sum represents a … 1980s. In this paper, the U.S. net external debt position is examined and compared with the experience of other countries …. The paper then proceeds to analyze the dynamic process of external debt accumulation. Concepts of external debt "stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498885
This paper builds a model of sovereign debt in which default risk, interest rates, and debt depend not only on current fundamentals but also on news about future fundamentals. News shocks affect equilibrium outcomes because they contain information about the future ability of the government to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498909