Showing 1 - 10 of 123
the central banks, or their equivalent, in six of the main East Asian developing economies. Some of these economies have … issued by the national government--not the central bank--be developed for the central bank's use in its monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368502
Central banks, whether independent or not, may occasionally be subject to external pressures to change policy … objectives. We analyze the optimal response of central banks to such pressures and the resulting macroeconomic consequences. We … accommodation effect. Simultaneously, the central bank tries to anchor inflation by promising to be even " more conservative" in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712800
steps to transform their economies from command systems to market-based systems. First, increased central bank independence … specifically, in the first section of this paper, we develop indices of central bank independence (CBI) for twelve transition … suggests that the transition economies with more independent central banks have achieved lower inflation than their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712822
Prior to the recent financial crisis, one of the most prominent examples of unconventional monetary stimulus was Japan's "quantitative easing policy" (QEP). Most analysts agree that QEP did not succeed in stimulating aggregate demand sufficiently to overcome persistent deflation. However, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009141708
A forecast of the correlation between two asset prices is required to price or hedge an option whose payoff depends on both asset prices or to measure the risk of a portfolio whose return depends on both asset prices. However, a number of factors make it difficult to evaluate forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372547
We develop a general method to infer martingale equivalent probability density functions (PDFs) for asset prices using American options prices. The early exercise feature of American options precludes expressing the option price in terms of the PDF of the price of the underlying asset. We derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372612
We present a model in which the addition of an option market leads to sunspot equilibria in an economy which has no sunspot equilibrium before the market is introduced. This phenomenon occurs because the payoff of an option contract is contingent upon market prices, and while prices are taken as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372635
The different approaches to large-scale privatization in Hungary, Poland, and the Czech Republic imply somewhat different patterns of corporate governance--that is, ownership, monitoring, and control of firms. Corporate governance affects economic incentives within the firm, and therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498826
We examine the forecasting performance of standard macro models of exchange rates in real time, using dozens of different vintages of the OECD's Main Economic Indicators database. We calculate out-of-sample forecasts as they would have been made at the time, and compare them to a random walk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368126
Considerable research has focused on explaining why currencies appreciate in real terms after the nominal exchange rate is stabilized, but this research generally has taken a theoretical approach, and rarely has tested its hypotheses empirically. In this paper I estimate a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368141