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Clements, Michael P.; Harvey, David I. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 27 (2011) 2, pp. 208-223

We consider different methods for combining probability forecasts. In empirical exercises, the data generating process of the forecasts and the event being forecast is not known, and therefore the optimal form of combination will also be unknown. We consider the properties of various combination...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573791

Combining probability forecasts

Clements, Michael P.; Harvey, David I. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 27 (2011) 2, pp. 208-223

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871337

The non-normality of some macroeconomic forecast errors

Harvey, David I.; Newbold, Paul - In: International Journal of Forecasting 19 (2003) 4, pp. 635-653

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428925

The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study

Makridakis, Spyros; Chatfield, Chris; Hibon, Michele; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 9 (1993) 1, pp. 5-22

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428840

Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors

Harvey, David; Leybourne, Stephen; Newbold, Paul - In: International Journal of Forecasting 13 (1997) 2, pp. 281-291

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428971

Assessing the forecasters: an analysis of the forecasting records of the Treasury, the London Business School and the National Institute

Mills, Terence C.; Pepper, Gordon T. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 15 (1999) 3, pp. 247-257

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418289

The M2-competition: Some personal reflections

Mills, Terence C. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 9 (1993) 1, pp. 26-26

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428889